It is a tie game here weeks before the election. And it's that shift, our last poll taken in the wake of that September debate. Harris had opened up that advantage over Trump gone in our new poll. Well, pollsters who previously showed that Kamala Harris [00:00:16] had a lead in the national polls now show that Trump has closed in on her leaving the race in a complete deadlock. Now, let's just flesh out the details a little more, because we're talking about the three same polls, what they showed in September and what they're showing now. [00:00:35] So, here are the polls that were released on Sunday morning. You have ABC Ipsos. They showed that Harris is up 50 to 48. CBS, YouGov, Harris up 51 to 48. And then NBC shows a dead tie 4848. [00:00:53] But if you go back to September, Harris had a wider lead, according to the same poll. So in September, ABC showed that Harris was up six points. CBS showed that Harris was up four points, and NBC showed that Harris was up five points. [00:01:09] So clearly she has lost some ground here. So when she was up 5 to 6 points, I said, finally, if the election were held today, she would win. But I said, well, there's a long way to go, right? Because remember, being tied in the national poll means that if you're a [00:01:25] Democrat, you're definitely going to lose. Joe Biden won by four and a half points on Election Day in 2020, and barely won the Electoral College by 43,000 votes. So you've got to have at least a four and a half to five point lead in order to win. So if she's tied, that means she's now disastrously behind. [00:01:43] So the swing states matter the most there. You can just win by one vote and you're fine. Right? But at the national level, since you stack up so many votes in New York and California, you've got to win by 4 or 5 points. So this is really bad news. [00:01:58] Unfortunately, just like we told you I mean, I wrote you a tweet on October 5th. We told you on the show before any of these polls had come out, we said, watch out. She's doing the wrong things. She's going to lose her lead. And now, unfortunately, the chickens have come home to roost. It isn't about bragging, guys. [00:02:15] It's about, for God's sake, you still have time. Turn around. Go back to doing the right things. You were doing great things in the beginning. I'll explain that in a minute. But first. So no more campaigning with neocons, you mean? Yeah. Okay, we'll get to some of that. So let's talk a little bit about why she is now kind of falling behind. [00:02:33] Let's take a look at this video and then we'll get into more details. We just asked the basic image perception people have is it positive or negative of these candidates. The Trump number has always been somewhere in this territory. In fact, this is a little bit high for him, believe it or not 43% positive. [00:02:50] But look at Harris 43 positive, 49 negative. The significance we polled this a month ago, she was 48% positive and 45 negative. And then there's the weight of the fact she is the VP in an unpopular administration. [00:03:06] We asked about President Biden's policies. Are they helping or hurting your family? Just a quarter of voters said they're helping. Nearly half said they're hurting. And then here's the interesting twist. We also asked folks, think back to when Donald Trump was president. Did his policies help or hurt your family? [00:03:21] And look at the difference 44% helping 31 hurting Trump's the retrospective, you would say opinion of Trump's presidency among voters arguably higher now than when he was president. So considering the data that you just saw and absorbed, [00:03:40] consider how disastrous it was when Kamala Harris was being interviewed by the ladies over at The View, and she was asked, what would you do differently from Joe Biden? And she basically said nothing. She had no way of differentiating herself from the Biden administration, [00:03:58] which, of course, is unpopular. And according to what NBC news found, voters feel that these policies implemented by Biden have made their lives worse. So she shouldn't have given the answer that she did during The View. So why are the numbers going down? [00:04:15] Well, again, we do the predictions so that you could see with your own eyes. Do these guys know what they're talking about or are they just Monday morning quarterbacking here? Right. We told you she was having all of her surrogates go out there and tell everybody on cable news that she's totally in favor of big business. [00:04:32] It's a terrible strategy. It isn't about left versus right. It's populist versus establishment. People want a change candidate. People want something different. People want somebody to stick up for the average person, not the big guys. And so when you send all of your surrogates to say, rah rah, big business, [00:04:48] terrible strategy, then she went and bear hugged Dick Cheney and the neocons and was like, oh, I love the war. Israel has a right to defend itself. 12 years later, 48 years later, it doesn't matter. Israel has infinite right to defend itself. I'm going to take all your money and send it to Israel for more wars. [00:05:03] And I love Dick Cheney. Dick Cheney left at 13% approval rating. What planet are you on? And the reality is they're on planet DC. In DC, everybody loves Dick Cheney. The rest of the country despises Dick Cheney. The excitement of DC. Yeah, and they can't see straight because they only know [00:05:20] other establishment figures. Then she bear hugged Joe Biden. I mean, can you find more unhelpful people to say that you love? Right? And so you didn't prepare for the answer of how are you different than Biden when Biden's popularity is in the toilet, when people only 25% of the country [00:05:37] thinks we're going in the right direction. And you didn't think that through and you just said, oh, we're the same, oh my God, what is wrong with this campaign? So and guys, especially in light of the fact that they started so strong and they started so well, and we told you then too, we said, oh my God, [00:05:53] picking Tim Walsh, he's going to go up. Oh, the economic populist plans that she put out, she's going to go up. And she did go up. We were right about that. All they had to do was hold steady. Instead, she went into a room with a bunch of donors and a bunch of morons from Washington, and they were all like, oh my God, you got to tell everybody how much you [00:06:11] love corporations and Dick Cheney. And now we're screwed. I think she got scared after CNBC and other similar news outlets started attacking her for a few of the economic populist messages that she put out there. [00:06:26] It wasn't even really fleshed out. But, you know, she puts statements out there about affordable housing. She puts statements out there about unrealized gains and how billionaires get away with not having to pay any taxes because they just take out loans rather than cashing out their stocks. [00:06:43] All of these things, of course, will draw the ire of hosts over at CNBC. But rather than staying the course and maybe elaborating on what those economic policies might be, she just kind of pivoted toward a pro-business, pro neocon message. [00:06:59] And clearly it is not working out for her. So what is she planning on doing now? Well, NBC news is reporting that the Harris campaign is now looking for ways to differentiate Harris from Biden. So there's some good news there, I guess. So that could change the course of how this election is currently going. [00:07:16] Harris has been reluctant, though, to be critical of Biden by outright critiquing his presidency. Her level of loyalty is incredible, one source told NBC. Harris would seek to distance herself, though, from Biden somewhat delicately, [00:07:31] likely giving the white House a heads up before doing so. Three of the people familiar with the discussion said, honestly, that doesn't inspire a lot of confidence, but there might be one saving grace for Harris. Let's watch. Here's something that you said weeks ago. [00:07:50] Don't ever shy away from our progressive values. One person's socialism is another person's neighborliness. Okay, so Merriam-Webster Dictionary on Socialism says it's a system of society or group living in which there is no private property, or this condition of society in which the means of production [00:08:05] are owned and controlled by the state. Did you mean to advocate for that here in the U.S.? No, no, Shannon. Look, I'm a capitalist. I was making the point of is Republicans oftentimes talk about socialism. And what I would make the case of is we build our roads collectively together. [00:08:22] I don't think anybody's arguing that you should have to build your own road from your house to your business place or whatever. So I said this definition that the right uses about this, things that we collectively do together, that look, I believe in moral capitalism. I believe capitalism works and it lifts everyone up. [00:08:38] But I also believe you have to make sure that there's things that we collectively do together. We educate our children by using our public schools. We build roads. We do some of the things like public health where we work together. So the point being on this is of trying to divide that. But you certainly can't have a capitalism that says billionaires get everything [00:08:56] and the middle class gets nothing. Bro. I mean, that was. So that was that was great. That was great. That was great. Yeah. Okay. He he was natural. It didn't seem at all rehearsed. That was a real answer to a hard question. [00:09:12] Obviously he's in hostile territory. This is Fox News. - Why isn't Tim Walz out there more. - Yeah. So that's going to lead to the last critique that's also constructive okay. So first of all on that answer though, if you watch the whole interview it's hilarious because so he you just heard him say that's the definition [00:09:29] of socialism that the right uses. Right. Saying you're using the wrong definition. And after that answer she's like, so you're saying you are a socialist? Okay, that's Fox News for you. All right. But the way he explained it was beautiful. I totally agree with that. So now the other critique we had was why did you stop doing [00:09:49] why are you not doing media? That's crazy because paid media is to just get your message out and it costs a lot of money, right? But free media, you can get your message out even better because you're not in the ads. You're in the content, right? And you get to make the case for yourself. [00:10:04] And no, they hit Kamala Harris and Tim Walz for over a month. We're like disastrous strategy. Okay. Kamala Harris has some issues with interviews. Tim Walz doesn't have any issues. Tim Walz is the most popular out of the four candidates. We've shown you every poll. It's not our opinion. [00:10:20] It's the opinion of the American people. Why would you keep the most popular out of the four candidates in a basement? Because you're dumb. I know I'm not supposed to say it. Okay? You're brilliant, and it's four dimensional chess. And after you lose this, you'll blame progressives and Russia, and then [00:10:36] you'll call it a four dimensional chess. Okay, first of all, you're accurate about the aftermath, but no, but it is a an important question, and I am curious about what is happening behind the scenes with the Harris campaign. Why did they make this decision? Like what happened? [00:10:52] So here's my guess, okay? And based on everything that I've read. But it is a guess. I don't have insider information on what's going on in the campaign. My guess is that this is the Biden team. Why do I guess that? Because the Biden team is what she kept. [00:11:07] She brought in some new people like David Plouffe from Obama. And David Plouffe is really smart and he's a corporate guy. And you could you know, I dislike some of his policies, etc., but he's a really good political strategist. So my guess is that Wallace and Plouffe let her in the right direction. [00:11:23] But I'm just guessing. Okay. But the Biden team hates the media. They're in their insane lunatic minds. They think mainstream media is biased against Joe Biden. And so they say, oh my God, they dare to once in a while ask a question [00:11:38] that isn't the perfect softball. So that's it. Don't do any media. They'll ask you annoying questions we can't answer. Then why don't you figure out the right answers? So that's my guess as to why they're doing that. That makes okay. That makes no sense, because the Biden team also happens to be [00:11:56] the same team that did not want Biden to drop out of the race. And in fact, when they were talking about what could happen if Biden dropped out of the race. Like, it can't be Kamala. She can't win. - Yeah, well, why would you. - Bring on the Biden team? [00:12:12] No, I know, I know, guys, this is. Look, there's a good reason why. But so here's what I would have done. I want to be constructive again about these two things. So number one, in the beginning, I understand building a giant political apparatus out of nowhere when all of a sudden you're likely to be the candidate and then you are the candidate is very difficult. [00:12:28] So you take the existing infrastructure. I understand. Fair point. Fair. Okay. Now, having said that, if I'm the candidate and they tell me dumb ass ideas like, oh, we were hiding Joe Biden, so we'd like to hide you. I'd say, yes, I know, but Joe Biden has dementia. That's why you were hiding him. You don't need to hide me. [00:12:45] And I wouldn't listen to them. But she did listen to them. And she decided, oh, yeah, let's hide. Me too. And then they said, hey, let's hide Tim Walz. I'd be like, why? He's the most popular guy we have. Oh, because we think the media. You think the media is rigged against you? Do you know how deluded you have to be to think that the mainstream media [00:13:03] is not pro-corporate Democrat enough. I mean, just cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. Yeah. Okay. Meanwhile. Okay. They're doing nothing but paid media. Finally, they started to do some interviews because it blew up. We were right. It became a disaster. It looked like she was embarrassed of her own positions. [00:13:18] Right. Embarrassed of her own campaign. What a terrible strategy. Okay, so we said get them out in the media. Not enough guys. So Tim Walz, we're seeing him now on Fox News for the first time in like a month. He's done 1 or 2 interviews. He needs to be doing 4 to 10 interviews every day. [00:13:36] He's a natural, like he's good during these interviews. So and for the Democrats, old school Democrats, they have it in their mind that if you ever criticize the Democrat, that must mean that you love Trump or the Republicans. No, we're saying Tim Walz is good. We want more Tim Walz. We want more Democratic interviews, not less. [00:13:55] Jesus Christ, guys. So now, because now there's one last thing that's actually a giant bogey for the Democrats, and I don't think they even realize it because they left the field to Trump and Vance for a month straight where these guys did no media at all. [00:14:10] Trump and Vance said all that when we were when Trump was in charge, it was the halcyon days. It was utopia. It was nirvana. Now, back when Trump was in charge, he pulled in the low 30s because it was not Nirvana. It was not Xanadu. Okay. [00:14:26] People hated him. Okay. Now, though, they've lied about it so thoroughly with no pushback, no pushback at all. Now, the numbers for how it was under Trump, as you saw in the Kornacki piece, they went from dirt to really high. Now people think, oh yeah, it was great in the Trump years. [00:14:44] Well, if they think it was great in the Trump years, you're screwed. You're definitely going to lose the election. So my God are you going to push back at all guys. Have you seen any Kamala ads that are effective. I haven't seen one in this campaign. It's not because I live in California and they don't do ads in California. I watch football, they do nothing but ads. Okay? [00:15:01] I haven't seen one effective ad at all. It's cream puff after cream puff after cream puff. Meanwhile, Trump and Vance have owned the media. They're all over the media. And whether they're saying crazy stuff or rational stuff or halfway rational stuff, nothing's really rational, right? It doesn't matter because they're winning the messaging wars. [00:15:19] Meanwhile, Kamala Harris is going, I love Dick Cheney, I love corporate CEOs, and I'm barely going to do any interviews, and my ads are all going to suck and be super soft. Well, this is how you lose an election you had in your hands. You're winning. You had it. [00:15:34] You had it. Go back to what you were doing in the beginning when you when it worked and you were winning. It's not that complicated. You just did it like a month or two ago. Hey, thanks for watching the video. We really appreciate it, guys, and we appreciate it if you become members, [00:15:51] because that allows us to be independent, honest, progressive, all the things that you don't get from corporate media and all of that is because of you guys. Hit the join button below and become one of us. Become a young Turk.